Tuesday, July 10, 2012

INDUSTRY ANALYSIS AND VALUATION - INDIA

INDUSTRY ANALYSIS AND VALUATION - INDIA

INDUSTRY ANALYSIS AND VALUATION - INDIA

Authors

AIMR FORMAT

 
Assocation of Investment Management and Research (now CFA institute) gave  the following format some time back for providing industry analysis.
 
 

Industry Classification

Life cycle position

Business cycle

 

External Factors

Technology

Government

Social

Demographic

Foreign

 

Demand Analysis

End users

Real and Nominal Growth

Trends and Cyclical variation around trends

 

Supply Analysis

Degree of Concentration

Ease of entry

Industry capacity

 

Profitability

Supply/Demand Analysis

Cost Factors

Pricing

 

International competition and markets

 
I ask my students to follow the format and prepare the analysis for the following industries as a part of their Investment Analysis or Security Analysis Course.
 
I presented a conference paper and published a journal article on the theme independent equity research from business schools. In that paper I argued that business schools can publish the equity research reports being prepared by their students on their web sites. No doubt disclaimer is there that it is a learning exercise only and not a professional output. The benefit of such academic institute reports will be that they will be more close to rigorous text book methods than the opportunistic reports from sellside companies.
 
I plan to publish the reports of my students on knol demonstrating my commitment to the suggestion that I have made.

 

Industries to be Covered as a Learning Exercise by Students

 

Auto-Ancillaries

Automobiles - Viklap
 

Banks - Vidushi Aggarwal, Himanshu Gupta

Bollywood

Capital goods

Cement

Chemicals

Construction

Consumer durables
 
Engineering - Venu Yaramshetti
 
FMCG - Prakash Chadhury
 

Fertiliser

Hospitality
 
Housing Finance  - Varun Singh
 
Infotech -software and ITES - Vicky Gosar, Rajat Viz
 
Infrastructure   - Bhagyashri Bhide and Naresh Dhingra

Logistics

Media

Metals

NBFC

Oil & Gas - Anshul Srivastava
 
Petroproducts - Saurabh Nagda
 

Pharmaceuticals

Power - Saravanan
 
Realty  - Dilip S.Anand
 

Retail

Shipping
 
Steel  - Megha Gupta
 

Sugar

Telecommunication services - Akanksha Mittal, Ashish Anand

Textiles
 
Tobacco - Lakxmikant Ramawat
 
Conglomerates
 
 

              Economic Times Sectoral  (Industry) Indices - December 2008

 
Index Days Close Days Close Days Close  
  5th Dec 08 12th Dec 08 19th Dec 08 P/E ratio
ET 100     3204.09 12.13
         
Sectoral Indices        
Auto-Ancillaries     4483.36 8.59
Automobiles     2424.13 8.51
Banks     5633.29 9.53
Capital goods     8653.69 17.44
Cement     4699.77 5.31
Chemicals     3968.69 5.32
Construction     9378.76 17.15
Consumer durables     3568.39 6.36
FMCG     3311.64 19.01
Fertiliser     3311.18 5.5
Hospitality     4267.23 10.3
Infotech     1948.15 9.36
Logistics     10875.04 10.8
Media     2412.8 19.71
Metals     6096.29 3.58
NBFC     10675.91 12.01
Oil & Gas     3186.18 15.86
Pharma     3119.78 13.34
Power     3612.03 19.36
Realty     3952.32 5.77
Retail     671.22 55.38
Shipping     5871.53 3.39
Sugar     8070.69 4.51
Teleservices     1655.4 15.11
Textiles     2922.81 17.97
Conglomerates     6600.24 8.25
         
Bollywood     784.71 9.76

 

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